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WORLD WATCH — Methodology
How this map works, where the data comes from, and what it can and cannot tell you.
What this is
World Watch is an open-source-intelligence (OSINT) dashboard that layers live conflict events,
verified geolocations, front lines, military postures, strategic oil infrastructure, and market
prices on one map. It is built for situational awareness — not for targeting, navigation, or
trading decisions.
Evidence tiers
✓ Footage-verified — GeoConfirmed events are
geolocated by volunteers from photo/video evidence; each pin links to the original footage. Highest confidence.
Curated OSINT — front lines (DeepState), town
control (Wikipedia conflict modules), fleet positions (USNI weekly): maintained by analysts/communities, approximate by design.
Machine-coded news — GDELT events are extracted
from global media by algorithms every 15 minutes: fast, broad, and noisy. We filter and correct them (below), but treat
individual pins as leads, not facts. Every pin links to its source article.
Data sources & cadence
| Layer | Source | Updates |
| Conflict events | GDELT 2.0 | ~10 min |
| Verified events | GeoConfirmed (volunteer project — support them) | 2 h |
| Ukraine front & units | DeepState | 30 min |
| Town control (17 conflicts) | Wikipedia "detailed map" modules (CC BY-SA) | 6 h |
| US Navy (approximate) | USNI Fleet & Marine Tracker | weekly |
| Aircraft | OpenSky / adsb.lol | 60 s |
| Ships (AIS) | AISStream / shared feeds (coverage varies) | 60 s |
| Travel advisories | US State Department | 24 h |
| Markets | Brent, WTI, Gold, DBA, DXY futures/indices | 60 s |
| Bases & oil infrastructure | curated from public records | static |
The noise pipeline
- Relevance scoring — media coverage volume + armed-actor coding + violence-specific event
types + conflict-keyword headlines, minus crime/sports/markets/accident vocabulary.
- Hard drops — unambiguous non-conflict phrasing (road accidents, market moves, disasters) never reaches the map.
- Geocode correction — when a headline names a target country that contradicts the pin
(a strike "on Iran" pinned at the attacker's capital or a press dateline), the pin is relocated and labeled.
- Story dedupe — one pin per story per location; coverage counts merge.
- Stricter bars off-theater — outside active conflict regions, only heavily-covered,
conflict-worded material events earn a pin.
Honest limitations
- Machine geocoding still drifts within countries; popups show the headline so you can catch it.
- Faction colors on town-control layers are best-effort readings of community map legends.
- Warship positions are weekly and approximate; deployed warships do not broadcast AIS.
- A small noise floor survives every filter — pin size reflects coverage, not confirmation.
- Coverage follows media and volunteer attention; quiet conflicts are under-represented.
Disclaimer. World Watch aggregates third-party open sources, machine-processed,
with errors expected. Nothing here is targeting data, navigational information, safety-of-life
guidance, or financial advice. Verify against primary sources before acting on anything.